Oil markets experienced a sharp reversal in June following a deescalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East between the US and Iran. The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world’s most strategically important shipping routes, with more than 20% of global oil and liquefied natural gas exports typically passing through the narrow waterway. The conflict severely disrupted shipping activity, leaving hundreds of merchant vessels stranded in the Gulf and reducing traffic through the strait to a fraction of normal levels.
Local and global inflationary pressures remain elevated
Inflation re-emerged as a key market theme during July, with both South Africa and the United States facing renewed price pressures, largely driven by higher energy costs stemming from continued geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Despite the high readings, central banks on both sides of the Atlantic elected to leave interest rates unchanged.