The oil market is currently sending mixed, and increasingly important, signals. The effective shutdown of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz points to a meaningful near-term supply disruption. This is clearly reflected in spot prices, which are pricing in acute scarcity.
Local and global inflationary pressures remain elevated
Inflation re-emerged as a key market theme during July, with both South Africa and the United States facing renewed price pressures, largely driven by higher energy costs stemming from continued geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Despite the high readings, central banks on both sides of the Atlantic elected to leave interest rates unchanged.